Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 8.690505 9.913787 11.252907 12.828519 14.632903 16.636201 19.031147
2026-01-11 7.200364 8.843712 10.782773 13.243071 16.287112 19.937120 24.657090
2026-01-18 6.018510 7.788211 9.990182 12.938066 16.792373 21.675994 28.358546
2026-01-25 5.207695 7.033528 9.406486 12.726829 17.270664 23.297122 31.940503
2026-02-01 4.586162 6.427553 8.912719 12.526148 17.671341 24.773025 35.386685
2026-02-08 4.083658 5.915206 8.471704 12.318744 17.995110 26.115840 38.711347
2026-02-15 3.667471 5.474079 8.074206 12.111450 18.265515 27.363444 41.963791
2026-02-22 3.504648 5.381748 8.162925 12.611787 19.606630 30.276330 47.966013
2026-03-01 3.286678 5.181200 8.064570 12.805905 20.478010 32.526348 53.117393
2026-03-08 3.039278 4.909589 7.828166 12.752515 20.937723 34.146779 57.373579
2026-03-15 2.810260 4.645338 7.577290 12.646045 21.288325 35.599897 61.455520
2026-03-22 2.708669 4.579377 7.638090 13.053697 22.520948 38.602081 68.439768
2026-03-29 2.588826 4.475074 7.630320 13.350248 23.599964 41.454441 75.472002
2026-04-05 2.500235 4.416344 7.693482 13.772690 24.932610 44.857590 83.818549
2026-04-12 2.299168 4.142390 7.359681 13.455348 24.896871 45.793418 87.644599
2026-04-19 2.132922 3.917103 7.093238 13.235382 25.015229 47.008946 92.095740
2026-04-26 1.983913 3.711245 6.845085 13.026420 25.130953 48.218026 96.627401
2026-05-03 1.847439 3.517935 6.604660 12.810462 25.210256 49.354063 101.100795
2026-05-10 1.722933 3.337698 6.374740 12.594623 25.267696 50.443256 105.562967
2026-05-17 1.698557 3.349604 6.512441 13.115593 26.845667 54.696264 117.042325
2026-05-24 1.637623 3.284252 6.493881 13.317723 27.782549 57.710523 126.136559
2026-05-31 1.552426 3.163519 6.356103 13.262129 28.171972 59.608544 132.946832
2026-06-07 1.467723 3.037512 6.198326 13.151264 28.431853 61.246512 139.315628